Five Reasons Rt. Hon. Dewan May Struggle in His House of Representatives Aspiration (Part 1)

(By WALBE OGAK) 

As political activities gradually gather momentum ahead of the next general elections, permutations and realignments have continued to shape conversations across the Pankshin/Kanke/Kanam Federal Constituency. Among the aspirants generating debate is Rt. Hon. Dewan. However, several political factors may pose significant challenges to his ambition of becoming a Member of the House of Representatives.

1. Absence of Strong Party Backing

One of the major hurdles confronting Dewan is the apparent lack of firm backing from the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), the platform under which he rose to prominence. During his tenure as Speaker, he was accused by critics of allegedly advancing PDP interests by refusing to swear in certain APC members. Now that the PDP structure in the state appears weakened and fragmented, he may find himself without the protective political umbrella that once strengthened his influence.

2. Controversy Over Zoning Arrangements

Zoning remains a sensitive issue in Plateau politics. Dewan’s emergence as Speaker was widely viewed in some quarters as being contrary to established zoning understandings. This betrayal may resurface and influence stakeholders who strongly believe in rotational representation as a tool for equity and balance within the state. "He who wants equity should come with clean hands'

3. The Dominance of the APC Structure

The All Progressives Congress (APC) currently commands significant political strength at both state and national levels. With the backing of influential figures, including the National Chairman and the State Governor, the APC is unlikely to concede strategic zones without a strong contest. The party’s machinery, grassroots mobilization capacity, and established structures could present a formidable challenge to any opponent outside its fold.

4. Limited Party Structure and Financial Muscle

Political success in a federal constituency contest requires more than personal popularity; it demands strong party structure, coordination, and financial resources. Observers argue that Dewan appears politically isolated, operating without the solid backing of a financially robust and well-organized party platform. This could affect campaign outreach, mobilization, and voter engagement.

5. Shifting Political Rivalries

Interestingly, the political rivalry between APC and PDP in the constituency appears less intense than in previous cycles, with internal party dynamics playing a bigger role. In such an environment, candidates without firm alliances or dominant party structures may struggle to build the broad coalition necessary for victory.

Conclusion

While Rt. Hon. Dewan remains a recognizable political figure with experience and name recognition, elections are ultimately won on the strength of structure, alliances, resources, and timing. As the political landscape in Pankshin/Kanke/Kanam continues to evolve, his path to the House of Representatives may prove more challenging than anticipated.

Walbe OGAK 

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